Brockman owns OT as Huskies top Sun Devils

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/27/2009 - Seattle, WA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jon Brockman owned overtime, scoring on the first two possessions, on his way to 21 points and 11 rebounds, as No. 21 Washington outlasted 14th-ranked Arizona State, 73-70, in a battle of conference heavyweights.

Justin Dentmon added 16 points, Isaiah Thomas donated 11 and Quincy Pondexter notched a double-double with 10 points and 12 boards for the Huskies (21-7, 12-4 Pac-10), who have won five of six overall.

Jeff Pendergraph totaled 24 points with 13 rebounds, James Harden added 19 points and Rihards Kuksiks added 13 for the Sun Devils (21-6, 10-5), who had a chance to claim first place in the conference with a victory.

Dentmon took it then gave it away in the final seconds of regulation. His layup with 47 seconds left gave the Huskies a 61-59 edge, but his defensive rebound turned into a Harden layup with approximately 11 seconds left to tie the game and force overtime.

That is where Brockman took over. He scored twice in succession on the block for a 65-61 lead, and after a Harden layup, Dentmon stepped to the charity stripe and calmly sank three straight free throws for a 68-63 advantage.

Arizona State got within one point, 68-67, before Dentmon again sank two free throws with 27 seconds to go. Derek Glasser missed an open look at a tying three from the top of the circle, Pendergraph fouled out on the ensuing rush for the basketball, and Venoy Overton sealed the victory with a pair of foul shots.

Washington led 35-34 at the half, and a Thomas jumper and two Brockman foul shots increased the edge to 42-36 early in the final 20 minutes. Matthew Bryan-Amaning's layup pushed the edge to eight points at 50-42, but Kuksiks scored eight points during a 14-2 blitz that gave the Sun Devils a four-point lead.

The two clubs battled to the wire from there.

Game Notes

Arizona State still holds a 34-33 edge in the all-time series...Washington won the first meeting this season, 84-71, back on January 31...Washington shot just 38.3 percent from the floor, and made only 2-of-17 threes. It made up for it by going 25-of-31 from the charity stripe...The Sun Devils made 41.8 percent of their shots.

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Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

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