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02/15/2012 - Stillwater, OK (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brittney Griner led all scorers with 28 points as top-ranked Baylor dominated Oklahoma State 83-51 at Gallagher-Iba Arena on Wednesday.
Griner also ripped down 10 boards and turned away six shots, while Kimetria Hayden added 20 points for the Lady Bears (26-0, 13-0 Big 12), who were coming off an impressive 71-48 win over No. 14 Texas A&M.
Taylor Schippers scored 11 points and Liz Donohoe added 10 for Oklahoma State (13-9, 5-8). The Cowgirls have now lost two straight and five of their last six contests.
After trailing 8-6 early on, Baylor reeled off a 19-4 run to take a 25-12 lead with 11:11 to play in the first half.
Oklahoma State struggled from long range, knocking down just two of its 13 attempts in the first half, and trailed 41-24 at intermission.
The Lady Bears cruised in the second half as they dominated the paint, outscoring Oklahoma State 46-16 on their way to a lopsided victory.
<< Murray State takes care of Redhawks
Cape Girardeau, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Donte Poole poured in a game-high 25
points, leading No. 16 Murray State to a 75-66 win over Southeast Missouri
State on Wednesday.
Ivan Aska netted 14 points and pulled down nine rebounds, wh
<< Cavs handle Pacers in Irving's return
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kyrie Irving came back from a three-game
absence and scored 22 points, and the Cavaliers never trailed while earning a
98-87 victory over the shorthanded Pacers.
Irving, who suffered a concussion duri
<< Gordon, Pistons pull away from Celtics
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ben Gordon scored 12 of his 22 points in the
fourth quarter as the Detroit Pistons pulled away to take a 98-88 victory over
the Boston Celtics at TD Garden.
Rodney Stuckey paced Detroit with 25 points and Gr
<< Wichita State clinches share of MVC title
Wichita, KS (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Garrett Stutz's double-double of 21 points and
10 rebounds powered No. 24 Wichita State to a 73-58 win over Missouri State
and a share of the MVC regular-season title on Wednesday.
Ben Smith had 14 points a
Hornets break road skid with win in Milwaukee >>
Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Marco Belinelli led the Hornets with 22
points as New Orleans snapped a six-game road losing streak, defeating the
Milwaukee Bucks 92-89 at Bradley Center on Wednesday.
Chris Kaman added a double-
Anderson, Senators beat Panthers 6-2 >>
Sunrise, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Craig Anderson came back to haunt his old team
on Wednesday.
The 30-year old goaltender, who used to wear a Panthers sweater, made 42 saves
Wednesday to backstop the Ottawa Senators to a 6-2 win over Fl
No. 3 Missouri cruises against Oklahoma State >>
Columbia, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Marcus Denmon scored a team-high 17 points as
No. 3 Missouri rolled past Oklahoma State with an 83-65 victory at Mizzou
Arena.
Ricardo Ratliffe added 15 points and 12 rebounds, while Phil Pressey and K
Seguin lifts Bruins over Canadiens in SO >>
Montreal, QC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tyler Seguin scored the winner in the shootout
as Boston took a 4-3 win over Montreal at Bell Centre.
Boston had blown a two-goal lead in the third, but Seguin scored on the second
chance of the shootout when
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
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